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A、B股指数波动的Granger因果关系分析
引用本文:杨渺,杨代若. A、B股指数波动的Granger因果关系分析[J]. 数理统计与管理, 2003, 22(1): 23-27
作者姓名:杨渺  杨代若
作者单位:南方证券研究所市场部,广东,深圳,518001;重庆市党校黔江分院,重庆,400900
摘    要:本文利用时间序列分析中的格兰杰因果关系检验法对中国证券市场A、B股的波动性进行分析 ,发现上海市场A、B股的波动间存在双向因果关系 ,而深圳市场A、B股的波动间则不存在显著可信的因果关系。对于A、B股市场间的关系以及深、沪两市的差异 ,本文从信息传递和交易者构成的角度进行了分析

关 键 词:波动性  Granger因果关系  信息传递
文章编号:1002-1566(2003)01-0023-05
修稿时间:2001-08-03

An analysis on Granger casuality between A and B-shares index''''s volatility
YANG Miao ,YANG Dai ruo. An analysis on Granger casuality between A and B-shares index''''s volatility[J]. Application of Statistics and Management, 2003, 22(1): 23-27
Authors:YANG Miao   YANG Dai ruo
Affiliation:YANG Miao 1,YANG Dai ruo 2
Abstract:In this study,we make use of Granger-casuality test to analyze the relationship between volatilities of A and B-shares index.According to the emprical results,we draw this conclusion that there is a bi-directional casuality between A and B shares volatility in Shanghai stock market,while there is no evident and reliable Granger-casuality between A and B shares volatility in Shenzhen stock market.From the angle of information-transfer and the constitution of stock trader,we explain the difference between Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market.
Keywords:Volatility  Granger Casuality  Information-transfer  
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