| 多状态概率转移模型在医院住院管理系统的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 姚晨. 多状态概率转移模型在医院住院管理系统的应用[J]. 数理统计与管理, 1992, 11(1): 1-8 |
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| 作者姓名： | 姚晨 |
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| 作者单位： | 解放军总医院医学统计室 |
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| 摘 要： | 在医院现代化管理的进程中，医院管理者需要经常了解医院病人的流动情况，尤其是住院病人。根据部门反馈的信息，综合分析，对病人的收容和病床的使用安排作出科学的管理决策。本文试用随机过程理论分析医院住院管理系统，建立了医院住院管理系统的多状态概率转移模型（简称ＨＱＭ模型），并分析了住院管理系统的几个优化指标。
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| 关 键 词： | 系统多状态概率转移方程 急症病床数 溢出率 等待因子 病床使用率 |
A Multi-State Transition Probability Model For Hospital Admission Scheduling |
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| Yao Chen Dept. of Med Stats,General Hospital of PLA Beijing P. R. China. A Multi-State Transition Probability Model For Hospital Admission Scheduling[J]. Application of Statistics and Management, 1992, 11(1): 1-8 |
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| Authors: | Yao Chen Dept. of Med Stats General Hospital of PLA Beijing P. R. China |
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| Abstract: | The hospital management's plan to admission scheduling is often based upon present patient flow data and specific planned operational changes. This paper present a multi-state transition probability model for hospital admission scheduling. The resulting linear program could be solved to obtain results listed on a decision table as a guide to administrative action. |
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| Keywords: | multi-state Transition probability Model Emergency beds rate of overflow waiting factor rate of bed utilization |
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