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Pricing European options with a log Student’s t-distribution: A Gosset formula
Authors:Daniel T. Cassidy  Michael J. Hamp
Affiliation:
  • a McMaster University, Department of Engineering Physics, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada L8S 4L7
  • b Scotiabank, Toronto, ON, Canada M5H 1H1
  • c Physics & Astronomy, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada T2N 1N4
  • d Origins Institute, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada L8S 4M1
  • Abstract:The distributions of returns for stocks are not well described by a normal probability density function (pdf). Student’s t-distributions, which have fat tails, are known to fit the distributions of the returns. We present pricing of European call or put options using a log Student’s t-distribution, which we call a Gosset approach in honour of W.S. Gosset, the author behind the nom de plume Student. The approach that we present can be used to price European options using other distributions and yields the Black-Scholes formula for returns described by a normal pdf.
    Keywords:Econophysics   Financial risk   European options   Fat-tailed distributions   Student&rsquo  s   mmlsi45"   onclick="  submitCitation('/science?_ob=MathURL&  _method=retrieve&  _eid=1-s2.0-S0378437110007405&  _mathId=si45.gif&  _pii=S0378437110007405&  _issn=03784371&  _acct=C000053510&  _version=1&  _userid=1524097&  md5=48339e274919bf5d9e06b8f30097c99a')"   style="  cursor:pointer  "   alt="  Click to view the MathML source"   title="  Click to view the MathML source"  >  formulatext"   title="  click to view the MathML source"  >t-distribution
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