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Modeling of degradation data via wiener stochastic process based on acceleration factor constant principle
Institution:1. Yunnan Innovation Institute, Beihang University, Kunming 650233, China;2. School of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100083, China;1. Department of Agricultural Sciences, University of Naples – Federico II, Italy;2. Department of Civil Engineering, University of Calabria, Italy;3. Department of Engineering for Innovation, University of Salento, Italy;1. Department of Statistics, Zhejiang Gongshang University, China;2. Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, National University of Singapore, Singapore;3. School of Economics, Nanjing University of Finance and Economics, China;1. Department of Automation, Xi’an Research Institute of High-Technology, Xi’an 710025, China;2. The State Key Laboratory for Manufacturing Systems Engineering, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, China
Abstract:This paper proposes a systematic method of modeling accelerated degradation data based on the acceleration factor constant principle. Wiener stochastic process is considered because it is the most extensively used for degradation modeling. For the Wiener stochastic processes with three different time functions, the parameter relationships, which should be satisfied under any two different stress levels, are deduced according to the acceleration factor constant principle. The deduced parameter relationships indicate the stress-related parameters, which are applied to establish accurate accelerated degradation models. In addition, the deduced parameter relationships provide a guidance to test the consistency of the degradation mechanisms under different stress levels. A hypothesis method based on Analysis of Variance is adopted to identify the accelerated stress levels with different degradation mechanism. The degradation data under these stress levels should not be used to assess the product's reliability. The methods of validating accelerated degradation models and reliability assessments are also proposed. The simulation results prove the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed methods. From the numerical example, it is concluded that the accelerated degradation model established based on the acceleration factor constant principle is more credible and accurate.
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