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A stochastic model for the HIV epidemic in homosexual populations involving age and race |
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| Authors: | W-Y Tan Z Xiang |
| Institution: | Department of Mathematical Sciences, The University of Memphis, Memphis, TN 38152, U.S.A. |
| Abstract: | In this paper, we derive a stochastic model for the HIV epidemic in homosexual populations involving age and race. To account for effects of different mixing patterns, a low risk selection rule is introduced. The model is then formulated in terms of chain multinomial distributions by means of which the means are derived. Some simulation studies by computer indicate clearly that age and race have a significant impact on the HIV epidemic. |
| Keywords: | Age Chain multinomial distribution Homosexual population Infective stages Low risk selection rule Mixing probability Probability of HIV transmission Race |
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