| 深圳社会消费品零售总额对经济增长影响的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 龚国勇.深圳社会消费品零售总额对经济增长影响的实证分析[J].数学的实践与认识,2009,39(9). |
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| 作者姓名： | 龚国勇 |
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| 作者单位： | 玉林师范学院,数学与计算机科学系,广西,玉林,537000 |
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| 摘 要： | 对1979年至2007年深圳的社会消费品零售总额(TRG)与国内生产总值(GDP)进行协整检验,检验结果表明:TRG与GDP的对数序列存在协整关系,它们之间存在长期的均衡关系;进而建立了误差修正模型;并由Granger因果分析,得出结论:深圳TRG的增加必然导致GDP的增长,反之不真.
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| 关 键 词： | TRG GDP 协整检验 误差修正模型 Granger因果分析 |
Demonstration Analysis Of Shenzhen Total Retail Sales of Consumer Goods Influence on Its Economy Growth |
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| GONG Guo-yong.Demonstration Analysis Of Shenzhen Total Retail Sales of Consumer Goods Influence on Its Economy Growth[J].Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2009,39(9). |
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| Authors: | GONG Guo-yong |
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| Abstract: | This paper tests cointegration between TRG and GDP from 1979 to 2007 in Shenzhen,the results shows that the co-integration and long-term equilibrium relationship exist between the logarithmic sequence of TRG and GDP;and based on that,an error correction model is built result;then we reaches a conclusion that the rising of TRG must cause increased TRG must cause the increasing of GDP in Shenzhen by Granger Causal Analysis,conversely,it's not ture. |
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| Keywords: | TRG GDP |
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