| 组合时间序列ARMA模型在经济预测中的应用——内蒙古十一五期间GDP预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 雍红月,包桂兰. 组合时间序列ARMA模型在经济预测中的应用——内蒙古十一五期间GDP预测[J]. 数学的实践与认识, 2008, 38(21) |
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| 作者姓名： | 雍红月 包桂兰 |
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| 摘 要： | 2006—2010年是内蒙古"十一五"规划的重要时期.利用组合ARMA时间序列模型,对内蒙古2006—2010年GDP进行预测,得出的结果能够帮助我们把握"十一五"期间经济运行的变动趋势,并寻求最佳的调控办法.
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| 关 键 词： | 组合ARMA时间序列模型 内蒙古“十一五”规划 GDP预测 |
An Application of Combination ARMA Model in Trend Forecasting of GDP form 2006 to 2010 in Inner Mongolia |
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| YONG Hong-yue,BAO Gui-lan. An Application of Combination ARMA Model in Trend Forecasting of GDP form 2006 to 2010 in Inner Mongolia[J]. Mathematics in Practice and Theory, 2008, 38(21) |
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| Authors: | YONG Hong-yue BAO Gui-lan |
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| Abstract: | By using combination ARMA model,this paper forecast the GDP of Inner Mongolia form 2006 to 2010.The forecasting results display Inner Mongolia GDP development trend,it assistances policy-maker to grasp the GDP development trend during ″the 11th five-year″ period,and to seek the best way of revising ″the 11th five-year″. |
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| Keywords: | combination ARMA model the 11th five-year of Inner Mongolia GDP forecasting |
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