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Optimal investment with two-factor uncertainty
Authors:Manuel J. Rocha Armada  Paulo J. Pereira  Artur Rodrigues
Affiliation:1. NIPE, University of Minho, Braga, Portugal
2. CEF.UP, Faculdade de Economia, Universidade do Porto, Porto, Portugal
Abstract:This paper presents a real options model to value the option to invest in a project contingent on two stochastic factors. A general sensitivity analysis is conducted highlighting the importance of the variance and correlation between the two variables. A higher correlation is shown to increase always the values of the trigger, the active project and the option. The impact of uncertainty is more complex and depends on the assumption about which variables adjust and the correlation between the variables and the market.
Keywords:
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