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A note on the conditional moments of a multivariate normal distribution confined to a convex set
Authors:Shelby J Haberman
Institution:Department of Statistics, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois 60637 USA
Abstract:Let Y be an N(μ, Σ) random variable on Rm, 1 ≤ m ≤ ∞, where Σ is positive definite. Let C be a nonempty convex set in Rm with closure C. Let (·,-·) be the Eculidean inner product on Rm, and let μc be the conditional expected value of Y given YC. For vRm and s ≥ 0, let βs(v) be the expected value of |(v, Y) ? (v, μ)|s and let γs(v) be the conditional expected value of |(v, Y) ? (v, μc)|s given YC. For s ≥ 1, γs(v) < βs(v) if and only if C + Σ v ≠ C, and γs(v) < βs(v) for all v ≠ 0 if and only if C + v ≠ C for any vRm such that v ≠ 0.
Keywords:62H10  60D05  Normal distributions  moments  convex sets  inequalities
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