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应用全概率公式研究输水管道系统的可靠性
引用本文:张子贤,刘家春.应用全概率公式研究输水管道系统的可靠性[J].数学的实践与认识,2006,36(3):147-153.
作者姓名:张子贤  刘家春
作者单位:徐州建筑职业技术学院,江苏,徐州,221008
摘    要:文中采用网络分解法,以全概率公式为依据对设置连通管的输水管道系统的可靠性进行了分析,建立了设置连通管的输水管道系统的可靠性计算模型;计算表明,三通和输水干管的管段的可靠性变化是影响系统可靠性的敏感性因素.研究成果对于输水管道系统组件的选择、施工与维护管理,具有重要的指导意义.

关 键 词:输水管道系统  可靠性  组件  逻辑图  网络分解法  全概率公式  模型
修稿时间:2005年6月19日

Reliability Evaluation of Water Delivery Pipeline System Using Total Probability Formula
ZHANG Zi-xian,LIU Jia-chun.Reliability Evaluation of Water Delivery Pipeline System Using Total Probability Formula[J].Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2006,36(3):147-153.
Authors:ZHANG Zi-xian  LIU Jia-chun
Abstract:In this paper,the analysis for reliability of water delivery pipeline system of setting up communicating tubes is performed by net decomposition method based on the total probability formula.The corresponding calculation models are established.The calculation results show that the influence of reliability variety of T branch pipe and tubulation of delivery main pipeline on reliability of the system is sensitivity factor.The research results have the important leading meaning to the choice of subassembly,the construction,maintenance management of the water delivery pipeline system.
Keywords:water delivery pipeline system  reliability  subassembly  logic diagram  net decomposition method  total probability formula  model  
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