| 某场站温度预报初探 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵斌华,汤光华,李力.某场站温度预报初探[J].应用数学,2004(Z2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵斌华 汤光华 李力 |
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| 作者单位： | 解放军理工大学理学院 江苏南京211101
(赵斌华，汤光华)，解放军理工大学理学院 江苏南京211101(李力) |
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| 摘 要： | 本文基于某场站温度变化的特点,对温度数据进行统计分析,利用平稳时间序列的理论就其数据建立模型进而做出预报,并验证此理论方法在场站温度预报中是有效可行的.
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| 关 键 词： | 平稳时间序列 AR模型 温度预报 概率限 |
A Preliminary Study for the Temperature Forecast in a Meteorological Field |
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| ZHAO Bin hua,TANG Guang hua,LI Li.A Preliminary Study for the Temperature Forecast in a Meteorological Field[J].Mathematica Applicata,2004(Z2). |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Bin hua TANG Guang hua LI Li |
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| Abstract: | The data of a meteorological field are statistically analyzed in accordance to the characteristics of temperature in this paper.A model is presented by using the stable time series theory to forecast the temperature.The method is confirmed to be effective in practice. |
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| Keywords: | Stable time series AR model Temperature forecast Probability limit |
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