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The Wiener disorder problem with finite horizon
Authors:PV Gapeev  G Peskir
Institution:1. Russian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Control Sciences, Profsoyuznaya Str. 65, 117997 Moscow, Russia;2. School of Mathematics, The University of Manchester, Manchester, M60 1QD, United Kingdom
Abstract:The Wiener disorder problem seeks to determine a stopping time which is as close as possible to the (unknown) time of ‘disorder’ when the drift of an observed Wiener process changes from one value to another. In this paper we present a solution of the Wiener disorder problem when the horizon is finite. The method of proof is based on reducing the initial problem to a parabolic free-boundary problem where the continuation region is determined by a continuous curved boundary. By means of the change-of-variable formula containing the local time of a diffusion process on curves we show that the optimal boundary can be characterized as a unique solution of the nonlinear integral equation.
Keywords:primary  60G40  35R35  45G10  secondary  62C10  62L15  62M20
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