| 概率与直觉 |
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| 引用本文： | 林志兴. 概率与直觉[J]. 数理统计与管理, 2006, 25(2): 240-243 |
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| 作者姓名： | 林志兴 |
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| 作者单位： | 福州大学数学与计算机学院,福建,350002;莆田学院,福建,351100 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过“免费抽奖问题”、“生日问题”、“肇事车认定问题”一个例子说明:在求某个事件的概率时,如果不经过认真分析,常常会被直觉误导。并分析了导致错觉的原因是错误地选择了样本空间,进而说明正确选择样本空间的重要性。
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| 关 键 词： | 直觉 概率 样本空间 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-1566(2006)02-0240-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2004-11-19 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004-11-19 |
Probability and Intuition |
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| LIN Zhi-xing. Probability and Intuition[J]. Application of Statistics and Management, 2006, 25(2): 240-243 |
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| Authors: | LIN Zhi-xing |
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| Affiliation: | 1.The college of Maths and Computer Sciences, Fuzhou University, Fujian, 350002; 2.Putian University, Fujian, 351100 China |
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| Abstract: | Through the question of drawing a lottery free,the birthday question,and the trouble-causing car cognizance question,the paper explain the fact that if we don't think it over,we will often be misled by the intuition while reckoning the probability of a certain incident.And find the reason that cause illusion is to choose the sample space wrongly,then explain the importance of choosing the sample space correctly. |
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| Keywords: | intuition probability sample space |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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