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Dynamical behavior of an epidemic model with a nonlinear incidence rate
Authors:Shigui Ruan  Wendi Wang
Affiliation:a Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada B3H 3J5
b Department of Mathematics, Southwest Normal University, Chongqing 400715, People's Republic of China
Abstract:In this paper, we study the global dynamics of an epidemic model with vital dynamics and nonlinear incidence rate of saturated mass action. By carrying out global qualitative and bifurcation analyses, it is shown that either the number of infective individuals tends to zero as time evolves or there is a region such that the disease will be persistent if the initial position lies in the region and the disease will disappear if the initial position lies outside this region. When such a region exists, it is shown that the model undergoes a Bogdanov-Takens bifurcation, i.e., it exhibits a saddle-node bifurcation, Hopf bifurcations, and a homoclinic bifurcation. Existence of none, one or two limit cycles is also discussed.
Keywords:Epidemic   Nonlinear incidence   Global analysis   Bifurcation   Limit cycle
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