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Complexity analysis of the stock market
Authors:Joongwoo Brian Park  Jeong Won Lee  Jae-Suk Yang  Hang-Hyun Jo  Hie-Tae Moon
Affiliation:1. Department of Physics, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon 305-701, Republic of Korea;2. Department of Physics, Korea University, Seoul 136-713, Republic of Korea;3. School of Physics, Korea Institute for Advanced Study, Seoul 130-722, Republic of Korea
Abstract:We study the complexity of the stock market by constructing εε-machines of Standard and Poor's 500 index from February 1983 to April 2006 and by measuring the statistical complexities. It is found that both the statistical complexity and the number of causal states of constructed εε-machines have decreased for last 20 years and that the average memory length needed to predict the future optimally has become shorter. These results support that the information is delivered to the economic agents and applied to the market prices more rapidly in year 2006 than in year 1983.
Keywords:Econophysics   Computational mechanics   Statistical complexity
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