| 基于IDRISI CA-Markov模型的闵行区土地利用变化及预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 魏永坤,石登荣,陶康华,周国祺,梅晶. 基于IDRISI CA-Markov模型的闵行区土地利用变化及预测[J]. 上海师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2014, 43(1): 98-104 |
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| 作者姓名： | 魏永坤 石登荣 陶康华 周国祺 梅晶 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]上海师范大学生命与环境科学学院,上海,200234 [2]上海师范大学城市信息研究中心,上海,200234 |
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| 摘 要： | 以上海市拓展区-闵行区作为研究对象，利用2000、2005、2010年Landsat TM遥感数据，计算了闵行区三大功能区2000～2005年、2005～2010年土地利用变化矩阵，分析了闵行区10年来三区土地利用变化幅度、速度和转移方向，采用CA-Markov模型预测闵行区土地利用变化趋势。结果表明：闵行三大功能区土地时空变迁差异性大，实质上都是农地转为非农地的过程，原因为所处的城市化阶段各不同。
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| 关 键 词： | 土地利用 CA-Markov 闵行区 三大功能区 |
| 收稿时间： | 2013-12-06 |
The Study on the land use change and the prediction for its future in Minhang District,Shanghai,using IDRISI CA-Markov model |
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| WEI Yongkun,SHI Dengrong,TAO Kanghu,ZHOU Guoqi and MEI Jing. The Study on the land use change and the prediction for its future in Minhang District,Shanghai,using IDRISI CA-Markov model[J]. Journal of Shanghai Normal University(Natural Sciences), 2014, 43(1): 98-104 |
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| Authors: | WEI Yongkun SHI Dengrong TAO Kanghu ZHOU Guoqi MEI Jing |
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| Affiliation: | 1. College of Life and Environment Sciences, Shanghai Normal University, Shanghai 200234, China ; 2. Research Center on Urban Information, Shanghai Normal University, Shanghai 200234, China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the interpretation on the remote sensing data of Landsat TMimages in 2000,2005 and 201 0 of Minhang Dis-trict,Shanghai,the paper set up the land use change matrix of this area during the period from 2000 to 2005 and the period from 2005 to 201 0,and further analyzed the change extent,change speed and change trend in past 1 0 years,using CA-Markov model method.The study results showed that there exist large difference of land use change in temporal and spatial,and that the agricul-tural land had great changed into non-agricultural land.This change had strongly been influenced by the urbanization in this area. |
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| Keywords: | land use change CA-Markov Minhang District three functional zones |
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