| “后配额时代”中国纺织品服装出口预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 姜延书,辛海. “后配额时代”中国纺织品服装出口预测[J]. 数理统计与管理, 2006, 25(2): 144-148 |
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| 作者姓名： | 姜延书 辛海 |
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| 作者单位： | 北方工业大学经管学院,北京,100041 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文利用单整自回归移动平均模型,依据2000年1月至2004年12月中国纺织品服装出口额数据,对2005年和2006年中国纺织品服装出口走势进行预测分析。
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| 关 键 词： | 后配额时代 纺织品服装出口 自回归移动平均模型 自相关 偏相关 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-1566(2006)02-0144-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 2004-01-16 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-06-06 |
Chinese Textile and Clothing Export Forecast and Analysis in the Post-quota Era |
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| JIANG Yan-shu,XIN-Hai. Chinese Textile and Clothing Export Forecast and Analysis in the Post-quota Era[J]. Application of Statistics and Management, 2006, 25(2): 144-148 |
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| Authors: | JIANG Yan-shu XIN-Hai |
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| Affiliation: | Economic Management College Of North China University Of Technolegy Beijing, 100041 |
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| Abstract: | By using autoregressive integrated moving average model and on the basis of Chinese textile and clothing export data from January of 2000 to December of 2004,this paper carries out forecast analysis for the Chinese textile clothing export tendency of 2005 and 2006. |
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| Keywords: | Post-quota Era Textile and Clothing export Autoregressive integrated moving average model Autocorrelation partial autocorrelation |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
