Entropy and reduced distance for Ricci expanders

Perelman has discovered two integral quantities, the shrinker entropy W and the (backward) reduced volume, that are monotone under the Ricci flow ∂_gij/∂t = − 2R_ij and constant on shrinking solitons. Tweaking some signs, we find similar formulae corresponding to the expanding case. The expanding entropy W₊ is monotone on any compact Ricci flow and constant precisely on expanders; as in Perelman, it follows from a differential inequality for a Harnack-like quantity for the conjugate heat equation, and leads to functionals μ₊ and v₊. The forward reduced volume θ₊ is monotone in general and constant exactly on expanders. A natural conjecture asserts that g(t)/t converges as t → ∞ to a negative Einstein manifold in some weak sense (in particular ignoring collapsing parts). If the limit is known a-priori to be smooth and compact, this statement follows easily from any monotone quantity that is constant on expanders; these include vol(g)/t^n/2 (Hamilton) and -λ (Perelman), as well as our new quantities. In general, we show that, if vol(g) grows like t^n/2(maximal volume growth) then W⁺, θ⁺ and -λ remain bounded (in their appropriate ways) for all time. We attempt a sharp formulation of the conjecture.