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Comparison between Highly Complex Location Models and GAMLSS
Authors:Thiago G. Ramires  Luiz R. Nakamura  Ana J. Righetto  Renan J. Carvalho  Lucas A. Vieira  Carlos A. B. Pereira
Affiliation:1.Campus Apucarana, Universidade Tecnológica Federal do Paraná, Apucarana 86812-460, Brazil; (R.J.C.); (L.A.V.);2.Departamento de Informática e Estatística, Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Florianópolis 88040-900, Brazil;3.Alvaz Agritech, Londrina 86050-268, Brazil;4.Instituto de Matemática e Estatística, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo 05508-090, Brazil;
Abstract:This paper presents a discussion regarding regression models, especially those belonging to the location class. Our main motivation is that, with simple distributions having simple interpretations, in some cases, one gets better results than the ones obtained with overly complex distributions. For instance, with the reverse Gumbel (RG) distribution, it is possible to explain response variables by making use of the generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape (GAMLSS) framework, which allows the fitting of several parameters (characteristics) of the probabilistic distributions, like mean, mode, variance, and others. Three real data applications are used to compare several location models against the RG under the GAMLSS framework. The intention is to show that the use of a simple distribution (e.g., RG) based on a more sophisticated regression structure may be preferable than using a more complex location model.
Keywords:beyond mean regression   distributional regression   parsimony principle   regression models   smoothing functions
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