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基于GWO-CNN-BILSTM的超短期风电预测
引用本文:程杰,陈鼎,李春,钟伟东,严婷,窦春霞.基于GWO-CNN-BILSTM的超短期风电预测[J].科学技术与工程,2023,23(35):15091-15099.
作者姓名:程杰  陈鼎  李春  钟伟东  严婷  窦春霞
作者单位:南京邮电大学,碳中和先进技术研究院,自动化学院、人工智能学院;国网浙江省电力有限公司嘉兴供电公司
基金项目:国网公司总部科技项目5400-202219152A-1-1-ZN
摘    要:在未来高渗透率风电场景下,超短期风电功率预测研究对于实现电力系统优化运行具有重要意义。为此,提出一种基于GWO-CNN-BiLSTM的超短期风电预测方法。首先,搭建基于卷积神经网络(convolutional neural network, CNN)与双向长短期记忆神经网络(bidirectional long short term memory, BiLSTM)的组合模型,然后,为提升风电预测结果的精度,通过灰狼优化算法(grey wolf optimizer, GWO)对组合模型进行优化,使该组合模型参数能实时适应风电历史数据。最后,仿真结果验证了所提出方法的有效性和优越性。

关 键 词:风电预测  CNN  BiLSTM  GWO  组合模型
收稿时间:2023/1/20 0:00:00
修稿时间:2023/9/20 0:00:00

Ultra-short-term Wind Power Prediction Based on GWO-CNN-BILSTM
Cheng Jie,Chen Ding,Li Chun,Zhong Weidong,Yan Ting,Dou Chunxia.Ultra-short-term Wind Power Prediction Based on GWO-CNN-BILSTM[J].Science Technology and Engineering,2023,23(35):15091-15099.
Authors:Cheng Jie  Chen Ding  Li Chun  Zhong Weidong  Yan Ting  Dou Chunxia
Institution:Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Institute of Advanced Technology for Carbon Neutrality, College of Automation & Artificial Intelligence
Abstract:In the future high-permeability wind power scenarios, the study of ultra-short-term wind power prediction research is of great significance for achieving optimal operation of power systems. Therefore, an ultra-short-term wind power prediction method based on GWO-CNN-BILSTM is proposed. Firstly, a combined model based on convolutional neural network (CNN) and bidirectional long short term memory (BILSTM) is built, and then, in order to improve the accuracy of wind power prediction results, the combined model is optimized by the grey wolf optimizer (GWO), so that the parameters of the combined model can be adapted to the historical wind power data in real time. Finally, the simulation results verify the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed method.
Keywords:wind power prediction CNN  BILSTM  GWO  combined model
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