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Likelihood Based Confidence Intervals for the Tail Index
Authors:Jye-Chyi Lu  Liang Peng
Institution:(1) School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30332-0205, USA;(2) School of Mathematics, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30332-0160, USA
Abstract:For the estimation of the tail index of a heavy tailed distribution, one of the well-known estimators is the Hill estimator (Hill, 1975). One obvious way to construct a confidence interval for the tail index is via the normal approximation of the Hill estimator. In this paper we apply both the empirical likelihood method and the parametric likelihood method to obtaining confidence intervals for the tail index. Our limited simulation study indicates that the normal approximation method is worse than the other two methods in terms of coverage probability, and the empirical likelihood method and the parametric likelihood method are comparable.
Keywords:confidence interval  empirical likelihood method  Hill estimator  normal approximation  parametric likelihood method  tail index
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