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Simulating the strategic financial planning process
Authors:James A. Gentry
Affiliation:University of Illinois at Urbana-Compaign, 260 Commerce Building West, Urbana, IL 61801, U.S.A.
Abstract:Strategic financial planning should (1) involve the key variables in the corporate growth process, (2) reflect the dynamic interaction in the system and (3) incorporate the dimension of uncertainty. Decision makers need a stochastic model that links the interaction between the investment and financing process for the planning period. The model presented in this paper integrates the investment and financing process by the use of simulation. The measure used to link these two systems is the rate of return required on new investment in order for decision makers to achieve their desired earnings-per-share growth goal. The model provides top management a tool to communicate their expectations to lower levels of management, thereby allowing them to measure and evaluate the impact of various sets of assumptions on the company's strategic plans.
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