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城市举办大型体育赛会能力的评估研究
引用本文:程晓多,赵艳丽,田金信,周爱民. 城市举办大型体育赛会能力的评估研究[J]. 数理统计与管理, 2004, 24(6): 64-69,58
作者姓名:程晓多  赵艳丽  田金信  周爱民
作者单位:哈尔滨工业大学管理学院,黑龙江,哈尔滨,150001;哈尔滨商业大学,工商管理学院,黑龙江,哈尔滨,150001
摘    要:城市争办大型体育赛会的激烈竞争凸显对其举办能力评估的重要性。本文运用搜集信息、调查统计、参数估计、聚类分析的方法,构建城市举办大型体育赛会能力的评估指标体系,提出相应的评估方法和步骤。以"十冬会"为例进行实证研究,分析哈尔滨举办"十冬会"的长处与不足。评估结果与选择2010冬奥会候选城市时国际奥委会评估小组对哈尔滨的评价具有较好的一致性。本文的结论为该评估指标体系和评估方法可有效分析城市举办大型体育赛会的能力,为提高城市申办国际性大型体育赛会的竞争力提供参考。

关 键 词:大型体育赛会  举办城市  能力评估  聚类分析  十冬会  冬奥会
文章编号:1002-1566(2004)06-0064-07

Study on Capacity Assessment of City Hosting Major Sport Events
CHENG Xiao-duo,ZHAO Yan-li,TIAN Jin-xin,ZHOU Ai-min. Study on Capacity Assessment of City Hosting Major Sport Events[J]. Application of Statistics and Management, 2004, 24(6): 64-69,58
Authors:CHENG Xiao-duo  ZHAO Yan-li  TIAN Jin-xin  ZHOU Ai-min
Affiliation:CHENG Xiao-duo~1,ZHAO Yan-li~2,TIAN Jin-xin~1,ZHOU Ai-min~1
Abstract:It is of significance to assess the capacity of city hosting major sport events while the cometition of cyty bidding major sport events is becoming more and more fierce. Using the methods of information collection,survey statistics,parameter estimation and cluster analysis, this paper structures the assessment indicators system of the capacity of city hosting major sport events,developing the assessment mechanisms and steps. With "10~th National Winter games" as a case study, the advantage and disadvantage of harbin hosting the games are analyzed, meanwhile the result is well coincided with the evaluation of IOC work group when electing the candidate cities of hosting 2010 Olympic Winter Games. finally,the conclusion is obtained that the assessment indicators system and methods are valid to explore the capacity of city hosting major sport events, and provide suggestions to improve the competitiveness of cyty bidding mega sport events.
Keywords:major sport events  hosting city  capacity assessment  cluster analysis  10~thnational winter games  Olympic Winter Games
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