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Hybrid or electric vehicles? A real options perspective
Authors:Michi Nishihara
Institution:Graduate School of Economics, Osaka University, 1-7 Machikaneyama-cho, Toyonaka, Osaka 560-0043, Japan
Abstract:This paper investigates the decision of an automaker concerning the alternative promotion of a hybrid vehicle (HV) and a full electric vehicle (EV). We evaluate the HV project by considering the option to change promotion from the HV to the EV in the future. The results not only extend previous findings concerning American options on multiple assets, but also include several new implications. One notable observation is that increased market demand for EVs can accelerate the promotion of the HV because of the embedded option.
Keywords:Real options  American options on multiple assets  Exercise region  Alternative projects  Hybrid and electric vehicles
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