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Law of iterated logarithm and model selection consistency for generalized linear models with independent and dependent responses
Authors:Xiaowei YANG  Shuang SONG  Huiming ZHANG
Institution:1. School of Mathematics and Statistics, Chaohu University, Chaohu 238024, China2. Center for Statistical Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China3. Department of Industrial Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China4. Department of Mathematics, University of Macau, Taipa Macau, China5. UMacau Zhuhai Research Institute, Zhuhai 519000, China
Abstract:We study the law of the iterated logarithm (LIL) for the maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters (as a convex optimization problem) in the generalized linear models with independent or weakly dependent (ρ-mixing) responses under mild conditions. The LIL is useful to derive the asymptotic bounds for the discrepancy between the empirical process of the log-likelihood function and the true log-likelihood. The strong consistency of some penalized likelihood-based model selection criteria can be shown as an application of the LIL. Under some regularity conditions, the model selection criterion will be helpful to select the simplest correct model almost surely when the penalty term increases with the model dimension, and the penalty term has an order higher than O(log log n) but lower than O(n): Simulation studies are implemented to verify the selection consistency of Bayesian information criterion.
Keywords:Generalized linear models (GLMs)  weighted scores method  non-naturallink function  model selection  consistency  weakly dependent  
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