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Nestedness-Based Measurement of Evolutionarily Stable Equilibrium of Global Production System
Authors:Jiaqi Ren  Lizhi Xing  Yu Han  Xianlei Dong
Affiliation:1.College of Economics & Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China; (J.R.); (Y.H.);2.International Business School, Beijing Foreign Studies University, Beijing 100089, China;3.Business School, Shandong Normal University, Jinan 250358, China;
Abstract:A nested structure is a structural feature that is conducive to system stability formed by the coevolution of biological species in mutualistic ecosystems The coopetition relationship and value flow between industrial sectors in the global value chain are similar to the mutualistic ecosystem in nature. That is, the global economic system is always changing to form one dynamic equilibrium after another. In this paper, a nestedness-based analytical framework is used to define the generalist and specialist sectors for the purpose of analyzing the changes in the global supply pattern. We study why the global economic system can reach a stable equilibrium, what the role of different sectors play in the steady status, and how to enhance the stability of the global economic system. In detail, the domestic trade network, export trade network and import trade network of each country are extracted. Then, an econometric model is designed to analyze how the microstructure of the production system affects a country’s macroeconomic performance.
Keywords:global value chain   global economic integration   nestedness   evolutionarily stable equilibrium
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