Some inverse problems involving conditional expectations |
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Authors: | A.F Karr |
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Affiliation: | Department of Mathematical Sciences, The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland 21218 USA |
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Abstract: | Let (Ω, F, P) be a probability space, let H be a sub-σ-algebra of F, and let Y be positive and H-measurable with E[Y] = 1. We discuss the structure of the convex set CE(Y; H) = {X ∈ pF: Y = E[X|H]} of random variables whose conditional expectation given H is the prescribed Y. Several characterizations of extreme points of CE(Y; H) are obtained. A necessary and sufficient condition is given in order that CE(Y; H) be the closed, convex hull of its extreme points. For the case of finite F we explicitly calculate the extreme points of CE(Y; H), identify pairs of adjacent extreme points, and characterize extreme points of CE(Y; H) ? CE(Z; G), where G is a second sub-σ-algebra of F and Z ∈ pG. When H = σ(Y) and appropriate topological hypotheses hold, extreme points of CE(Y; H) are shown to be in explicit one-to-one correspondence with certain left inverses of Y. Finally, it is shown how the same approach can be applied to the problem of extremal random measures on + with a prescribed compensator, to deduce that the number of extreme points is zero or one. |
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Keywords: | 60A10 60B05 60G07 60G57 Conditional expectation convex set extreme point left inverse measurable selection random measure compensator |
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