Some inverse problems involving conditional expectations

Let (Ω, F, P) be a probability space, let H be a sub-σ-algebra of F, and let Y be positive and H-measurable with EY] = 1. We discuss the structure of the convex set CE(Y; H) = {X ∈ pF: Y = EX|H]} of random variables whose conditional expectation given H is the prescribed Y. Several characterizations of extreme points of CE(Y; H) are obtained. A necessary and sufficient condition is given in order that CE(Y; H) be the closed, convex hull of its extreme points. For the case of finite F we explicitly calculate the extreme points of CE(Y; H), identify pairs of adjacent extreme points, and characterize extreme points of CE(Y; H) ? CE(Z; G), where G is a second sub-σ-algebra of F and Z ∈ pG. When H = σ(Y) and appropriate topological hypotheses hold, extreme points of CE(Y; H) are shown to be in explicit one-to-one correspondence with certain left inverses of Y. Finally, it is shown how the same approach can be applied to the problem of extremal random measures on $\text{R}$₊ with a prescribed compensator, to deduce that the number of extreme points is zero or one.