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Constructing and evaluating alternative frames of discernment
Authors:Johan Schubert
Affiliation:Division of Information Systems, Swedish Defence Research Agency, SE-164 90 Stockholm, Sweden
Abstract:We construct alternative frames of discernment from input belief functions. We assume that the core of each belief function is a subset of a so far unconstructed frame of discernment. The alternative frames are constructed as different cross products of unions of different cores. With the frames constructed the belief functions are combined for each alternative frame. The appropriateness of each frame is evaluated in two ways: (i) we measure the aggregated uncertainty (an entropy measure) of the combined belief functions for that frame to find if the belief functions are interacting in interesting ways, (ii) we measure the conflict in Dempster’s rule when combining the belief functions to make sure they do not exhibit too much internal conflict. A small frame typically yields a small aggregated uncertainty but a large conflict, and vice versa. The most appropriate frame of discernment is that which minimizes a probabilistic sum of the conflict and a normalized aggregated uncertainty of all combined belief functions for that frame of discernment.
Keywords:Dempster-Shafer theory   Belief function   Representation   Frame of discernment   Cross product   Induction
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