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On the structure of the stochastic process of mortgages in Spain
Authors:P. R. Bouzas  A. M. Aguilera  M. J. Valderrama  N. Ruiz-Fuentes
Affiliation:(1) Department of Statistics and Operational Research, University of Granada, 18071, Spain;(2) Department of Statistics and Operational Research, University of Jaén, 23071, Spain
Abstract:Summary  The number of mortgages in Spain is a counting process that can be modelled as a doubly stochastic Poisson process (DSPP). A modelling method for the intensity of a DSPP is proposed. A first step consists on estimating discrete sample paths of it from observed ones of the DSPP, then a continuous modelling is derived by means of Functional Principal Component Analysis. The method is validated by a simulation. Finally, it is applied to the real process of the mortgages in Spain discussing the interpretation of the principal components and factors.
Keywords:Doubly Stochastic Poisson Process  Point Estimation  Functional Principal Component  Mortgages
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