新能源产业发展对欧盟碳市场影响的计量研究

以欧盟碳市场为例,采用相关性检验、岭回归分析、格兰杰因果检验等方法识别2005-2017年期间碳市场价格和新能源产业投资及装机容量的各个因素之间的关系。研究发现,碳市场与太阳能、风能、水电、生物质能和地热能等产业之间有密不可分的关系,水电装机容量、地热能装机容量也是碳市场价格变化的格兰杰原因,碳市场价格是影响生物质能产业投资的格兰杰原因。

Metrology Research on the Impact of Renewable Energy on EU ETS

This paper taking the EU ETS as an example to identify the relationships between carbon marketprice and various factors of renewable energy investment and installed capacityduring the period of 2005-2017.The correlation test, ridge regression analysis and Granger causality test are applied in this paper.The findings are as follow: the carbon market is inextricably linked with industries such as solar energy, wind energy, hydropower, biomass energy and geothermal energy.The carbon market price is the Granger cause that affects the investment in biomass energy industry. The installed capacity of hydropower and geothermal energyare also the Granger cause the changes in carbon market prices.