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供应链协同需求预测机制研究
引用本文:董绍辉,张志清,西宝.供应链协同需求预测机制研究[J].运筹与管理,2010,19(5).
作者姓名:董绍辉  张志清  西宝
作者单位:1. 河北科技大学经济管理学院,河北石家庄050018;哈尔滨工业大学管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150001
2. 武汉科技大学管理学院,湖北武汉430081;哈尔滨工业大学管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150001
3. 哈尔滨工业大学管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨,150001
基金项目:教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划资金项目,湖北省教育厅人文社科基金项目 
摘    要:如何实现供应链需求预测的有效协同是一个需要解决的难点问题。论文基于博弈论分析了协同需求预测的利益分配机制,定量分析了供应链协同需求预测的整体收益系数,提出了考虑收益和成本的动态激励机制,还定性分析了核心企业主导、信息共享以及信任等机制。提出的机制对提高供应链整体的预测能力,提升竞争力和整体绩效具有很好的价值。

关 键 词:供应链管理  需求预测  协同机制  博弈论

Study on Mechanisms of Collaborative Demand Forecast in Supply Chain
DONG Shao-hui,ZHANG Zhi-qing,XI Bao.Study on Mechanisms of Collaborative Demand Forecast in Supply Chain[J].Operations Research and Management Science,2010,19(5).
Authors:DONG Shao-hui  ZHANG Zhi-qing  XI Bao
Institution:DONG Shao-hui1,ZHANG Zhi-qing2,XI Bao3(1.School of Economics and Management,Hebei University of Science and Technology,Shijiazhuang 050018,China,2.School of Management,Wuhan University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430081,Chian,3.School of Management,Harbin Institute of Technology,Harbin 150001,China)
Abstract:How to implement effective supply chain demand forecasting collaboration is a difficult problem to be solved.Several important mechanisms of collaborative demand forecast in supply chain are proposed in this paper.Profit dividing mechanism is analyzed based on game theory and dynamic activation mechanism is presented.Analysis of the interests of collaborative forecasting distribution mechanism,and quantitative analysis of collaborative supply chain demand forecasting of overall profitability coefficient are...
Keywords:supply chain management  demand forecast  collaborative mechanism  game theory  
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