Forecast-driven model for prepositioning supplies in preparation for a foreseen hurricane |
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Authors: | Gina Galindo Pacheco Rajan Batta |
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Institution: | 1.University at Buffalo (SUNY),Buffalo,USA;2.Universidad del Norte,Barranquilla,Colombia |
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Abstract: | In this paper, we present a forecast-driven dynamic model for prepositioning relief items in preparation for a foreseen hurricane. Our model uses forecast advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center (NHC), which are issued every 6?h. Every time a new advisory is issued with updated information, our model determines the amount and location of units to be prepositioned and it also re-prepositions already prepositioned units. The model also determines the best time for starting the prepositioning activities. Our approach uses a combination of Decision Theory and stochastic programming. The outcomes of our model are presented in a way that could be easily understood by humanitarian practitioners who are ultimately the ones who would use and apply our model. |
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