| 中国1998年通货膨胀变动趋势的预测与分析 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 傅为忠 王庆军. 中国1998年通货膨胀变动趋势的预测与分析[J]. 运筹与管理, 1997, 6(3): 54-60 |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 傅为忠 王庆军 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 安徽工学院管理工程系(傅为忠)，合肥工业大学管理工程系(王庆军) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 文章首先对中国１９９６年和１９９７年物价大幅度下降的成因进行了分析。然后根据物价升降成因的多样性与复杂性，依据Ｂｏｘ－Ｊｅｎｋｉｎｓ模型对１９９８年通货膨胀趋势进行了预测。最后对１９９８年诱发通货膨胀的可能性及如何控制１９９８年物价上涨提出了自己的几点看法。
|
| 关 键 词： | 通货膨胀率；物价指数；潜在经济增长率；Box－Jenkins模型 |
THE FORECAST AND ANALYSIS OF INFLATION TREND OF CHINA IN 1998 |
| |
| Fu Weizhong. THE FORECAST AND ANALYSIS OF INFLATION TREND OF CHINA IN 1998[J]. Operations Research and Management Science, 1997, 6(3): 54-60 |
| |
| Authors: | Fu Weizhong |
| |
| Abstract: | The paper analyses the causes of big price decreasing of China in 1996 and 1997, and then forecasts inflation trend in 1998 according to diversity and complex of price increasing and decreasing causes and Box Jenkins model It also puts forward several personal views of probability of causing inflation and controlling price increase in 1998 |
| |
| Keywords: | inflation price index potential economic growth rate Box Jenkins model |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
