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基于Theil不等系数的IOWHA算子组合预测模型及其应用
引用本文:李洪岩,陈华友. 基于Theil不等系数的IOWHA算子组合预测模型及其应用[J]. 数学的实践与认识, 2011, 41(11)
作者姓名:李洪岩  陈华友
作者单位:1. 安徽交通职业技术学院土木工程系,安徽合肥,230051;安徽大学数学科学学院,安徽合肥,230601
2. 安徽大学数学科学学院,安徽合肥,230601
基金项目:国家自然科学基金,安徽大学学术创新团队,安徽大学青年科学基金
摘    要:Theil不等系数是一种度量预测精度的另一种相关性指标,将Theil不等系数和IOWHA算子的概念相结合,提出一种新的基于Theil不等系数的IOWHA算子最优组合预测模型,并定义了优性组合预测的概念.利用该模型对税收收入进行了组合预测,结果表明该组合预测方法是可行和有效的,且该模型是一种优性组合预测.

关 键 词:Theil不等系数  IOWHA算子  组合预测  优性组合预测

The Combination Forecasting Model and Its Application Based on the Theil Coefficient and Induced Ordered Weighted Harmonic Averaging(IOWHA) Operator
LI Hong-yan,CHEN Hua-you. The Combination Forecasting Model and Its Application Based on the Theil Coefficient and Induced Ordered Weighted Harmonic Averaging(IOWHA) Operator[J]. Mathematics in Practice and Theory, 2011, 41(11)
Authors:LI Hong-yan  CHEN Hua-you
Affiliation:LI Hong-yan~1,CHEN Hua-you~2 (1.Department of Civil Engineering,Anhui Communications Vocational and Technical College,Hefei,230051 China) (2.School of Mathematical Science,Anhui University,Hefei 230601,China)
Abstract:The Theil coefficient is another kind of index which can be used to measure the forecasting precision.In this paper,a new combination forecasting model is proposed based on the Theil coefficient and induced ordered weighted harmonic averaging(IOWHA) operator by combining the induced ordered weighted harmonic averaging(IOWHA) operator and the Theil coefficient.In the meantime,the conception of superior combination forecasting is given. Finally,combination forecasting of tax revenue is given by using this mod...
Keywords:Theil coefficient  IOWHA operator  combination forecasting  superior combination forecasting  
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