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岩体结构面倾向参数概率分布函数改进的Bayes推断方法
引用本文:严春风,宋建波. 岩体结构面倾向参数概率分布函数改进的Bayes推断方法[J]. 力学学报, 1999, 7(4): 349-354
作者姓名:严春风  宋建波
作者单位:1. 重庆市建筑科学研究院,重庆400015;2. 重庆建筑大学岩土工程研究所,重庆400045
摘    要:三峡船闸是世界上最大的船闸。该地区断层及节理比较发育,且具有一定的随机统计性,它对岩体力学性质起重要的控制作用。为了研究节理倾向的概率分布特征,本文引入以Bayes 最小熵优度比较检验为基础的概率分布的改进Bayes 统计推断方法,基于三峡工程永久船闸节理岩体3373 条结构面的实测参数,就对岩体力学性质起控制作用的各组结构面的倾向参数的概率分布进行了研究。文章最后还讨论了推断的最优分布参数,估计了结构面参数的检验误差范围。

关 键 词:岩体  结构面  倾向  概率分布  估计  Bayes方法
收稿时间:1997-12-10
修稿时间:1998-04-18

USE OF ADVANCED BAYES METHOD TO INFER PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION OF STRUCTURAL FACE DIP PARAMETERS IN ROCKMASS FOR PERMANENT SHIPLOCK OF THREE-GORGES PROJECT
YAN Chun feng,SONG Jian bo. USE OF ADVANCED BAYES METHOD TO INFER PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION OF STRUCTURAL FACE DIP PARAMETERS IN ROCKMASS FOR PERMANENT SHIPLOCK OF THREE-GORGES PROJECT[J]. chinese journal of theoretical and applied mechanics, 1999, 7(4): 349-354
Authors:YAN Chun feng  SONG Jian bo
Affiliation:1. Chongqing Institute of Architecture, Chongqing 400045;2. Chongqing Jianzhu University, Chongqing 400045
Abstract:The shiplock of the Three Gorges Project is the largest one in the world. Faults and Joints in rockmass are more developed of in the project area and affect the mechanical properties of rockmass. For study the distribution character of joint dips, an advanced Bayes method is used to infer the probability distribution function(PDF)of joint dips parameters in rockmass in the paper. Based on 3373 Joints in the rockmass for the permanent shiplock of the Three Gorges Project, the PDF of dip parameters are analysed by using advanced Bayes method and the errorstested are in permissible limit.
Keywords:Rockmass  Joints  Dip  Probability Distribution  Estimation  Bayes Method.
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