| 基于潍坊市GDP及影响因素的EGM预测模型对比分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 李涛,刘金元.基于潍坊市GDP及影响因素的EGM预测模型对比分析[J].数学的实践与认识,2017(11):291-298. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李涛 刘金元 |
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| 作者单位： | 潍坊科技学院通识学院,山东潍坊,262700 |
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| 基金项目： | 2016年潍坊市软科学研究计划项目(2016RKX034) |
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| 摘 要： | 通过对2004—2014年的潍坊市GDP及影响因素的数据进行分析,建立EGM预测模型,利用通过检测的模型对潍坊市GDP及相关影响因素进行平均增速测算和分析,预测未来五年的发展情况,并进行了比较,结果符合实际情况,同时与其他预测模型相比较具有误差小,预测结果准确的特点,方法科学合理,具有一定的理论依据,为制定潍坊市发展的相关政策提供数据参考.
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| 关 键 词： | GDP EGM 预测 响应方程 检验 |
The Comparative Analysis of EGM Prediction Model Based on Weifang GDP and Its Influencing Factors |
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| LI Tao,LIU Jin-yuan.The Comparative Analysis of EGM Prediction Model Based on Weifang GDP and Its Influencing Factors[J].Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2017(11):291-298. |
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| Authors: | LI Tao LIU Jin-yuan |
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| Abstract: | This article analyzes Weifang GDP data and influence factors in 2004-2014 and establishes the EGM prediction model.Calculating and analyzing average growth rate of Weifang GDP and related influence factors by examining the model,this article forecasts the development in the next five years and compares the results.The results conforms to the actual situation.At the same time,compared with other forecasting model,it has the characteristic of small error and accuracy.The method is scientific and reasonable.It has a certain theoretical basis to provide data reference for establishing Weifang policy. |
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| Keywords: | GDP EGM prediction response procedure inspection |
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