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The impact of investment lags on investment decision
Authors:Ki Hong Kim  Seong Tae Hwang  Hyung Sik Oh  Deok Joo Lee
Institution:aSeoul National University, Industrial Engineering, San 56-1, Sillim-dong, Gwanak-gu, Seoul 151-742, Republic of Korea;bHana Financial Group Investment Bank Securities Co., Ltd., Derivatives Hedging & Trading Team, 23-3, Yoido-Dong, Youngdeungpo-ku, Seoul 150-010, Republic of Korea;cKyunghee University College of Advanced Engineering, 1, Seocheon-ri, Kihung-eup, Yongin-si, Kyunggi-do 449-701, Republic of Korea
Abstract:This paper suggests a valuation framework for an investment project through the concept of real options. Generally, in real asset world, decision time and its payment time are not identical. This so-called investment lag problem should be considered when valuing real assets. When investment lags exist, firms’ accommodation capacities play important roles. In this paper, the real effect of investment lag on investment value is tested upon various conditions. We show the valuation process of real assets under the risk-neutral world. The closed-form formula is also provided for valuing real assets, including R&D project.
Keywords:Decision analysis  Real options  Investment lag  Risk-neutral world
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