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A dynamical model of echinococcosis with optimal control and cost-effectiveness
Institution:1. University of Salford, Greater Manchester, United Kingdom;4. University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland;5. University of Melbourne, Werribee, VIC, Australia
Abstract:A dynamical model of echinococcosis transmission with optimal control strategies is first presented. The basic reproduction number of the model is determined and employed to study the global stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibrium points. The optimal control problem is formulated and solved analytically. Numerical simulations show that optimal control strategies could effectively reduce the transmission of echinococcosis. The cost-effectiveness analysis suggests that a combination of health education, anthelmintic treatment, and home slaughter inspection could provide the best cost-effective strategy to control the transmission of echinococcosis. Furthermore, it finds that anthelmintic treatment and environmental disinfection may shorten the time of eliminating the disease. The results may be helpful for prevention and control of echinococcosis in Ganzi Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture, China and other areas of echinococcosis.
Keywords:Echinococcosis  Basic reproduction number  Global stability  Optimal control  Cost-effectiveness
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