| 世纪之交中国自然科学期刊论文合著率指标现状及发展趋势研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 钟旭 黄晖 薛健. 世纪之交中国自然科学期刊论文合著率指标现状及发展趋势研究[J]. 新疆大学学报(理工版), 2005, 22(3): 369-372 |
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| 作者姓名： | 钟旭 黄晖 薛健 |
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| 作者单位： | 新疆大学图书馆,新疆乌鲁木齐830008 |
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| 摘 要： | 世纪之交．中国自然科学期刊论文合著率总指标在1999年达到一个阶段性高点（62．2％）后，出现小幅回落．进一步分析显示，基础科学与应用技术科学的该指标出现趋势各异的分化走势．前者继续保持原有的震荡上升态势．后者则呈现出下降态势．这种发展态势导致中国自然科学期刊论文合著率总指标将保持平稳的发展态势．
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| 关 键 词： | 中国 自然科学 期刊论文 合著率指标 现状 发展趋势 灰色预测模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-2839（2005）03-0369-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-01-10 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-01-10 |
Study on Index Current situation of Collaboration Aate of Periodical Thesis of China''''s Natural Science at Turn of the Century and Development Trend |
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| ZHOUG Xu, HUANG Hui, XUE Jian. Study on Index Current situation of Collaboration Aate of Periodical Thesis of China''''s Natural Science at Turn of the Century and Development Trend[J]. Journal of Xinjiang University(Science & Engineering), 2005, 22(3): 369-372 |
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| Authors: | ZHOUG Xu HUANG Hui XUE Jian |
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| Affiliation: | The library o Xinjiang University, Urumqi, Xiniang 830008, China |
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| Abstract: | At the turn of the century, the total index of collaboration rate of periodical thesis of China's natural science reached a phasic culmination in 1999(62.2%)and then, fell slightly after rose.The further analysis shows that the fundamental science and using this index of the technolgical sciences to present the division tendency with different trend, the situation of the former continues keeping the existing shaking rise, the latter demonstrates the situation of dropping. This kind of developing state causes the total index of collaboration rate of periodical thesis of China's natural science to keep the steady developing state. |
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| Keywords: | China Natural science Periodical thesis Collaboration rate index Current situation Development trend Grey Predict model. |
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