| 农村用电量的宏观预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 葛玉安.农村用电量的宏观预测[J].北京联合大学学报(自然科学版),1995,9(1):37-43. |
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| 作者姓名： | 葛玉安 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京联合大学电子自动化工程学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文用相关分析和层次分析方法找出影响农村用电量的主要因素，将农村用电量归结为多变量输入单变量输出系统，采用离散线性动态系统模型对我国农村用电量进行了预测，预测结果表明我国农村用电量年递增率为１０％以上。
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| 关 键 词： | 预测 用电量 动态系统 农村用电 能源工业 |
Forecast for the Rural Electricity-consumption |
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| Ge Yu''''an.Forecast for the Rural Electricity-consumption[J].Journal of Beijing Union University,1995,9(1):37-43. |
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| Authors: | Ge Yu'an |
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| Abstract: | This paper uses the method of relative analyzing and analytic hierarchy process tofind the main factors which affect the rural electricity-consumption,and sums the rural elec-tricity-consumption up as a system which has multi-character input but sole-character output.By using the model of the discrete linear dynamic system,this paper forecasts the rtiral electri-city-consumption in China.The forecasted results show that rural electricity-consumption inChina increases by more than ten percent every year. |
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| Keywords: | forecast analytic hierarchy process electricity-consumption dynamic system |
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