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A computational model of a bonus-malus system with a variable trend
Authors:A. F. Koloskov
Affiliation:(1) Faculty of Computational Mathematics and Cybernetics, Moscow State University, Moscow, 119992, Russia
Abstract:The paper considers a model of a bonus-malus system with a variable trend in the case of a three-parameter gamma distribution. The parameters of the distribution and the value of the trend are selected based on statistical data. The indexes of the bonus-malus system are obtained.
Keywords:auto insurance model  indexes of a bonus-malus system  maximum-likelihood method  mixed Poisson distribution  posterior distribution  gamma distribution
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