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武汉市在校大学生数与经济增长的协整分析
引用本文:吴頔,余东. 武汉市在校大学生数与经济增长的协整分析[J]. 数学理论与应用, 2013, 0(3): 107-112
作者姓名:吴頔  余东
作者单位:武汉科技大学理学院,武汉430065
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(11201356);冶金工业过程系统科学湖北省重点实验室基金项目(Y201319)
摘    要:近二十年来,我国高等教育规模不断扩大,高校在校生数不断增加,其中武汉市位居全国前列.为了研究高校在校生数对当地经济发展的影响,本文利用武汉市1992—2012年在校大学生人数数据,通过建立合适的模型,来定量探讨武汉市在校大学生数与经济增长的内在关系.结果表明,武汉市经济增长与武汉在校大学生人数模型之间存在着长期均衡关系且互为格兰杰因果关系.

关 键 词:武汉市在校大学生人数  经济增长  协整分析  Granger因果检验

The Co - integration of the Number of College Students in Wuhan and the Local Economic Growth
Wu Di Yu Dong. The Co - integration of the Number of College Students in Wuhan and the Local Economic Growth[J]. Mathematical Theory and Applications, 2013, 0(3): 107-112
Authors:Wu Di Yu Dong
Affiliation:Wu Di Yu Dong (College of Science,Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430065, China)
Abstract:In the past two decades, higher education has been expanding with the constant increase of the number of college students in China, in which Wuhan ranks forefront. To study the impact of higher education on local economic development, using the data of college students and the economic growths in 1992 -2012 in Wuhan, we establish mathematical models and quantitatively investigate the intrinsic relationship between the two factors: the number of undergraduate students and the local economic growth. The results show that the two factors have a long - term equi- librium relationship and are of mutual Granger causality.
Keywords:Number of College Students Economic Growth Co - integration Analysis Granger - causality Test
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