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Empirical analysis on risk of security investment
Authors:Peng An  Sheng-hong Li
Institution:(1) Antai College of Economics & Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ., Shanghai, 200052, China;(2) Dept. of Math., Zhejiang Univ., Hangzhou, 310027, China
Abstract:The paper analyzes the theory and application of Markowitz Mean-Variance Model and CAPM model. Firstly, it explains the development process and standpoints of two models and deduces the whole process in detail. Then 30 stocks are choosen from Shangzheng 50 stocks and are testified whether the prices of Shanghai stocks conform to the two models. With the technique of time series and panel data analysis, the research on the stock risk and effective portfolio by ORIGIN and MATLAB software is conducted. The result shows that Shanghai stock market conforms to Markowitz Mean-Variance Model to a certain extent and can give investors reliable suggestion to gain higher return, but there is no positive relation between system risk and profit ratio and CAPM doesn't function well in China's security market.
Keywords:Markowitz Mean-Variance Model  Capital Asset Pricing Model  time series analysis  regressive analysis  securities market
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