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Finite time ruin probabilities for tempered stable insurance risk processes
Authors:Philip S Griffin  Ross A Maller  Dale Roberts
Institution:1. 215 Carnegie Building, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY 13244-1150, United States;2. Mathematical Sciences Institute, Australian National University, Canberra ACT 0200, Australia
Abstract:We study the probability of ruin before time tt for the family of tempered stable Lévy insurance risk processes, which includes the spectrally positive inverse Gaussian processes. Numerical approximations of the ruin time distribution are derived via the Laplace transform of the asymptotic ruin time distribution, for which we have an explicit expression. These are benchmarked against simulations based on importance sampling using stable processes. Theoretical consequences of the asymptotic formulae indicate that some care is needed in the choice of parameters to avoid exponential growth (in time) of the ruin probabilities in these models. This, in particular, applies to the inverse Gaussian process when the safety loading is less than one.
Keywords:Ruin probabilities  Insurance risk    vy process  Fluctuation theory  Convolution equivalent  Tempered stable  Inverse Gaussian
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