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Testing for change in the mean via convergence in distribution of sup-functionals of weighted tied-down partial sums processes
Authors:Yu. V. Martsynyuk
Affiliation:1.Dept. Statist.,Univ. Manitoba,Winnipeg,Canada
Abstract:
Let X 1,..., X n, n > 1, be nondegenerate independent chronologically ordered realvalued observables with finite means. Consider the “no-change in the mean” null hypothesis H 0: X 1,..., X n is a randomsample on X with Var X <∞. We revisit the problem of nonparametric testing for H 0 versus the “at most one change (AMOC) in the mean” alternative hypothesis H A: there is an integer k*, 1 ≤ k* < n, such that EX 1 = · · · = EXk* ≠ EXk*+1 = ··· = EX n. A natural way of testing for H 0 versus H A is via comparing the sample mean of the first k observables to the sample mean of the last n - k observables, for all possible times k of AMOC in the mean, 1 ≤ k < n. In particular, a number of such tests in the literature are based on test statistics that are maximums in k of the appropriately individually normalized absolute deviations Δk = |S k/k - (S n - S k)/(n - k)|, where S k:= X 1 + ··· + X k. Asymptotic distributions of these test statistics under H 0 as n → ∞ are obtained via establishing convergence in distribution of supfunctionals of respectively weighted |Z n(t)|, where {Z n(t), 0 ≤ t ≤ 1}n≥1 are the tied-down partial sums processes such that
$${Z_n}left( t right): = left( {{S_{leftlceil {left( {n + 1} right)t} rightrceil }} - left[ {left( {n + 1} right)t} right]{S_n}/n} right)/sqrt n $$
if 0 ≤ t < 1, and Z n(t):= 0 if t = 1. In the present paper, we propose an alternative route to nonparametric testing for H 0 versus H A via sup-functionals of appropriately weighted |Z n(t)|. Simply considering max1?k<n Δk as a prototype test statistic leads us to establishing convergence in distribution of special sup-functionals of |Z n(t)|/(t(1 - t)) under H 0 and assuming also that E|X|r < ∞ for some r > 2. We believe the weight function t(1 - t) for sup-functionals of |Z n(t)| has not been considered before.
Keywords:
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