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Hitting and returning to rare events for all alpha-mixing processes
Authors:Miguel Abadi
Affiliation:
  • a Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
  • b Laboratoire de Mathématiques CNRS UMR 6205, Université de Bretagne Occidentale, Brest, France
  • Abstract:We prove that for any α-mixing stationary process the hitting time of any n-string An converges, when suitably normalized, to an exponential law. We identify the normalization constant λ(An). A similar statement holds also for the return time.To establish this result we prove two other results of independent interest. First, we show a relation between the rescaled hitting time and the rescaled return time, generalizing a theorem of Haydn, Lacroix and Vaienti. Second, we show that for positive entropy systems, the probability of observing any n-string in n consecutive observations goes to zero as n goes to infinity.
    Keywords:Mixing processes   Hitting times   Repetition times   Return times   Rare event   Exponential approximation
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