Minimizing the variance of a mathematical expectation estimate for a diffusion process functional based on a parametric transformation of a parabolic boundary value problem

This paper deals with finding ways of reducing the variance of a mathematical expectation estimate for the functional of a diffusion process moving in a domain with an absorbing boundary. The estimate of mathematical expectation of the functional is obtained based on a numerical solution of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) by using the Euler method. A formula of the limiting variance is derived with decreasing integration step in the Euler method. A method of reducing the variance value of the estimate based on transformation of the parabolic boundary value problem corresponding to the diffusion process is proposed. Some numerical results are presented.