| 组合预测方法在旅游经济分析预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 何满喜. 组合预测方法在旅游经济分析预测中的应用[J]. 数学的实践与认识, 2010, 40(3) |
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| 作者姓名： | 何满喜 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国计量学院数学系,浙江,杭州,310018 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金(10601051); 中国计量学院“123人才资助计划”项目(01002-0021) |
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| 摘 要： | 应用组合预测方法,对浙江省旅游业主要指标的统计数据建立数学模型,对旅游经济发展进行现状分析和前景预测,并探讨了旅游经济对社会经济发展的影响、研究表明所建模型具有很好的拟合精度,较好的刻画了浙江省旅游经济的发展过程,这将为研究和调控旅游经济发展趋势提供有益的参考依据.
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| 关 键 词： | 组合预测 旅游经济 数学模型 现状分析 前景预测 |
The Application of Combination Forecast Method in Analysis and Forecasting of Tourism Economy |
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| HE Man-xi. The Application of Combination Forecast Method in Analysis and Forecasting of Tourism Economy[J]. Mathematics in Practice and Theory, 2010, 40(3) |
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| Authors: | HE Man-xi |
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| Affiliation: | HE Man-xi (China Jiliang University,Hangzhou 310018,China) |
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| Abstract: | In this paper mathematical model was set up based on statistical data,concerning numbers of main indexes of tourism in Zhejiang by using the combination forecast method. Present status of the tourism economy was analysed,while the prospect forecasted.We also probed into the influence of tourism to social and economical development.As presented in this paper,the model characterized the development process of tourism in Zhejiang objectively, with quite a good fitting precision.Consequently,it may provide refe... |
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| Keywords: | combination forecasting tourism economy mathematical model present analysis prospect forecasting |
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