| 基于云推理模型的武器装备研制风险评估研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 李晓松,王成志,陈庆华.基于云推理模型的武器装备研制风险评估研究[J].运筹与管理,2011,20(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 李晓松 王成志 陈庆华 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 装备指挥技术学院研究生院,北京,101416
2. 装备指挥技术学院装备指挥系,北京,101416 |
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| 摘 要： | 武器装备研制过程充满了不确定性和风险,因此对武器装备研制风险进行研究对于实现武器装备研制目标具有重要的意义.界定了武器装备研制风险相关概念,介绍了云推理理论,构建了武器装备研制风险的云推理评估模型,实现了定性变量与定量变量相互映射,最后,通过实例对模型进行了验证.
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| 关 键 词： | 武器装备研制 风险评估 云推理模型 |
Research on Weapon Equipment Risk Assessment Based on Cloud Reasoning Model |
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| LI Xiao-song,Wang Chengzhi,CHEN Qing-hua.Research on Weapon Equipment Risk Assessment Based on Cloud Reasoning Model[J].Operations Research and Management Science,2011,20(3). |
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| Authors: | LI Xiao-song Wang Chengzhi CHEN Qing-hua |
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| Institution: | LI Xiao-song1,Li Xin1,CHEN Qing-hua2(1.Department of Postgraduate,the Academy of Equipment Command & Technology,Beijing 101416,China,2.Department of Equipment and Command,the Academy of Equipment Command &Technology,China) |
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| Abstract: | The weapon equipment development process is full of uncertainties and risks,therefore,the research into weapon equipment development risk is of great significance for achieving objectives of weapon equipment development.We define the concepts of weapon equipment development risk,introduce the cloud reasoning theory,build the cloud reasoning risk assessment model of weapon equipment development risk,achieve qualitative variables and quantitative variables mapped,and use an example to validate the model. |
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| Keywords: | weapons and equipment development risk assessment cloud reasoning model |
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